How It Works

Step 1: Who was closest across the board?

We look at every one of the 10 games and compare each player's predicted scoreline to what actually happened, both the home and away goals, then add up how far off each prediction was across all 10 games. The player with the smallest total difference wins the tiebreak. For example, if the real score was 2-1 and you predicted 2-1, that's a perfect match (0 difference). If you predicted 1-1, you're off by 1 goal. We do this for every game and add it all up, so it rewards players who were consistently close all week, not just lucky on one or two games.

Step 2: Still tied? Most exact scores wins.

If players are still level after Step 1, we count how many exact scorelines each player got correct that week. Whoever nailed the most exact scores moves ahead.

Step 3: Still tied? Most correct results wins.

If players are still tied, we count how many match results each player got right that week - win, draw, or loss - whether or not they also got the exact score. Whoever called the most results correctly moves ahead.

Step 4: Still tied? Most correct draws wins.

Draws are statistically the hardest result to call correctly - most games have a winner, so predicting the ones that don't takes real judgement. Among players still tied, whoever correctly called more draws that week moves ahead.

Step 5: Still tied? Most correctly-called upsets wins.

For tiebreak purposes, an upset occurs when the actual match result was not the most-selected outcome among Predicts10 players when predictions locked. If two outcomes are tied as the most-selected, neither counts as an upset. A fixture needs at least 3 predictions for this to apply, so one or two early picks can't swing it. Going against the crowd and being right is harder than following it, so we count how many upsets each player correctly called and whoever called the most moves ahead.

Step 6: Still tied? Both teams to score.

We check how many fixtures each player correctly called for "both teams to score" - yes or no - regardless of the exact scoreline they predicted. Whoever got more of these right moves ahead.

Step 7: Still tied? Win to nil.

Same idea, for "win to nil" - whether a team won without conceding. Whoever correctly called more of these moves ahead.

Step 8: Still tied? Golden fixture accuracy decides it.

If players are still level after all of that, we look specifically at how close each player's prediction was on their golden fixture, the one game they chose to double their points on that week. The player who was closer on their golden pick wins the tiebreak.

Step 9: A genuine dead heat

If, after all of that, players are still perfectly tied, we split the prize equally between them. This is extremely rare, but we think it's the fairest way to handle it if it ever happens.